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Falcone's Harbinger Fund Holds Few Options
Impact. The setback threatens to leave the industry with one fewer competitor, harming regulators’ attempts to spur rivalry and benefiting incumbents - e.g., AT&T Inc. and Clearwire Corp.
Options. LightSquared may employ these options in an attempt to recoup some of its sunk costs: (i) sell the airwave spectrum; (ii) swap it for better airwaves; (iii) sue the government; and, (iv) reduce costs to stay afloat until a solution is found,
Options. “A reorganization might be considered in a situation like this,” according to BTIG analyst Piecyk. “If the spectrum is deemed unusable they have to cut costs as much as they possibly can, because it might be hard to raise additional capital.”
Impacts. Harbinger lost 47% for investors in its main hedge fund last year, as Falcone, 49, was forced to cut the value of its Virginia-based LightSquared by more than half.
Impacts. Out of Time? Financially, the company may not have enough time to attempt to work through the interference issues. RBC analyst Jonathan Atkin said last month that LightSquared may run out of money within 6 months. While the company has signed on initial customers, including Best Buy Co., it has yet to start operating and earning revenue.
Impacts. Falcone manages about $4 billion as Harbinger’s Chairman and CEO. The main fund valued its equity and loans in LightSquared at $1.1bn as of 1/27/12, according to a loan document. Harbinger Capital Partners LLC owns additional shares and loans of LightSquared outside of the main fund. Falcone’s stake in the main fund is worth at least $850mn.
Impacts. The FCC rejection could unravel LightSquared’s agreements with more than 30 wholesale customers that had signed on to be users of the planned wireless network.
Impacts. Sprint Nextel Corp., the 3rd-biggest U.S. wireless carrier, and one of LightSquared’s main partners, has been distancing itself from the project in anticipation of the FCC rejection. Under their agreement, Sprint was to build and operate LightSquared’s network during an 11-year period, receiving $9bn in payments and $4.5bn in service credits.
Options. It may all come down to several big investors taking control of the business. As it became increasingly likely that LightSquared would be able to conquer the spectrum challenges put up by the FCC and others, wealthy investors - Carl Icahn, David Tepper and Andrew Beal in December 2011 bought $300 million in the venture’s debt from Farallon Capital Management LLC. The move may help give Icahn control of LightSquared’s spectrum for less than what Falcone originally paid.
Updates are sure to come in. We'll report developments as they are reported. For further details, go to: [Bloomberg, 2/15/12]
